After years of exceptional monetary policy measures, the mortgage market in 2026 is in a phase of Normalisation. The extreme swings of the past decade - first historically low, then abruptly rising interest rates - are increasingly giving way to an environment of greater predictability. For property buyers, owners and investors, this does not necessarily mean more favourable financing, but it does mean Clearer framework conditions.
Interest rate trend: decline with structural lower limit
Numerous macroeconomic analyses assume that mortgage interest rates in 2026 will be slightly below the level of previous years, although permanently above the long-term average of the low-interest phase remain. According to forecasts by international research and financial institutions, long-term fixed-rate mortgages are in the region of six per cent, with moderate fluctuations.
This is due to a continued restrictive monetary policy, structurally higher government debt and a monetary policy focus on controlling inflation rather than stimulating growth. The expectation of a return to interest rates below four per cent is considered unrealistic in the current literature.
Effects on the property market
The interest rate situation has a direct impact on supply and demand. For the year 2026, a Sideways movement in property prices accompanied by regionally differentiated developments. While demand continues to exist in high-growth urban centres, secondary locations are becoming significantly more price-sensitive.
At the same time, supply is increasing as project developments are becoming more predictable again and owners are no longer postponing decisions to sell. As a result, the market is developing from a seller's market to a buyer's market. negotiation-orientated balance, which offers strategic advantages for owner-occupiers in particular.
Refinancing and financing models
Winning with falling volatility Refinancing and maturity optimisation importance. Borrowers are increasingly scrutinising existing mortgages for efficiency, risk structure and long-term affordability. Banks are responding to this with more differentiated products, including hybrid models, staggered terms and individualised amortisation strategies.
The credit check remains the decisive factor. Despite more stable interest rates, banks continue to act conservatively. Equity ratio, income security and property quality remain key assessment criteria.
The role of professional counselling
In this environment, sound advice becomes a decisive success factor. Looking at the interest rate in isolation is not enough. Rather Overall strategy, risk tolerance, life planning and market cycle to harmonise them.
Positioning itself here WENET AG as a competent partner for property and financing issues. WENET AG provides clients with comprehensive support - from market analysis and property valuation to the development of a sustainable mortgage strategy. The aim is not short-term optimisation, but long-term stability and value retention.
Conclusion
The 2026 mortgage market stands for Realism instead of illusions. The phase of extremely favourable financing costs is over, but it is being replaced by a predictable environment with clear opportunities for well-prepared market participants. Those who plan in a structured manner, are professionally advised and think long-term can make sustainable property decisions even under more challenging conditions.
Would you like to strategically review your financing or are you planning a property purchase in the current market environment?
Then get in touch with WENET AG on. We support you with in-depth market knowledge, independent analysis and personalised advice.
Scientific and institutional references
- Fannie Mae (2025). Economic and Housing Outlook: Mortgage Rate Forecasts 2025-2027. Washington, DC.
- National Association of Realtors (2025). Housing Market Outlook 2026. Chicago.
